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Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES94¢ (94%)
NO6¢ (6%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $14.9K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
OU's fair94¢
Confidence
Moderate

California's 44th district is a heavily Democratic stronghold and the party is currently focused on leveraging voter discontent to maintain control of such seats in 2026.

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