Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES27¢ (27%)
NO73¢ (73%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $4.4K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 27¢ · pays 3.7×
Price gap
Polymarket27¢
→OU's fair55¢
+28¢ underpriced · pays 3.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent ISW reports confirm significant Russian territorial gains in early 2026 and indicate that Dopropillia is a primary target of the current offensive push.
Wide edge+28¢
Off market consensus
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