Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES30¢ (30%)
NO70¢ (70%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.2K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-11-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 70¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Polymarket70¢
→OU's fair71¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Low
Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver has historically maintained a strong electoral advantage in Missouri's fifth congressional district.
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