Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-06 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES92¢ (92%)
NO8¢ (8%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7.1K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 8¢ · pays 13×
Price gap
Polymarket8¢
→OU's fair12¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 13×
Confidence
Moderate
New Jersey's 6th district is a Democratic stronghold that has consistently elected Frank Pallone by wide margins for decades.
Off market consensus
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