Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
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Market price
YES8¢ (8%)
NO92¢ (92%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $18.8K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 92¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket92¢
→OU's fair92¢
Confidence
Low
Recent reports indicate Russia maintains its nuclear stockpile and strategic ambiguity but no evidence suggests a specific plan for an imminent non-combat detonation test.
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