Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES90¢ (90%)
NO10¢ (10%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.8K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-02 (7d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 10¢ · pays 9.5×
Price gap
Polymarket10¢
→OU's fair69¢
+59¢ underpriced · pays 9.5×
Confidence
Moderate
Zach Wahls leads the Democratic field in fundraising and has high-profile campaign support from national figures like Elizabeth Warren.
Wide edge+59¢
Off market consensus
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