Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES8¢ (8%)
NO92¢ (92%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $4.3K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 8¢ · pays 13×
Price gap
Polymarket8¢
→OU's fair10¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 13×
Confidence
Moderate
The Illinois 8th District is a Democratic stronghold where the incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi has historically won by large margins and maintains a significant fundraising lead.
Off market consensus
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