Will the Republican Party win the AZ-03 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $4.3K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
→OU's fair95¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Arizona's 3rd Congressional District is a heavily Democratic seat where the Republican candidate lost by over forty points in the most recent special election cycle.
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