Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $15.3K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 7¢ · pays 15×
Price gap
Polymarket7¢
→OU's fair27¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 15×
Confidence
Moderate
The 2025 passage of Proposition 50 and subsequent redistricting have significantly altered the partisan composition of the district to favor Democratic candidates.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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