Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES2¢ (2%)
NO98¢ (98%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $249.3K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-30
Polymarket · Companies
OU's Pick
NO at 98¢ · pays 1.0×
Price gap
Polymarket98¢
→OU's fair98¢
Confidence
Low
Chinese models like DeepSeek and Ernie have shown rapid progress but still trail top Western models like GPT-4o and Claude 3.5 Sonnet on the Chatbot Arena leaderboard.
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