Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES59¢ (59%)
NO41¢ (41%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $396.3K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 42¢ · pays 2.4×
Price gap
Polymarket42¢
→OU's fair52¢
+10¢ underpriced · pays 2.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent Wikipedia and news snippets indicate ongoing 2026 negotiations where Iran has agreed to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by the end of the year.
High volume$13k
Off market consensus
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