Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES14¢ (14%)
NO86¢ (86%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $63.4K • Updated 18m agoCloses: 2026-10-05
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 14¢ · pays 6.9×
Price gap
Polymarket14¢
→OU's fair25¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 6.9×
Confidence
Low
The Liberal Party currently holds official opposition status while the Conservative Party lacks any seats in the National Assembly.
Off market consensus
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