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Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
Below 19030¢
195-19914¢
190-19413¢
215-21911¢
200-20411¢
220-2249¢
205-209★ BEST7¢
210-2145¢
225-2293¢
230+2¢
Polymarket • Volume: $246.7K • Updated 19m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · 205-209
at 7¢
Price gap
Polymarket7¢
→
OU's fair7¢
Confidence
Low

Historical midterm trends typically show the president's party losing seats and the current Republican majority is slim enough that a modest loss lands them in this range.

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