Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES9¢ (9%)
NO91¢ (91%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.2K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2028-08-14
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 9¢ · pays 11×
Price gap
Polymarket9¢
→OU's fair15¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 11×
Confidence
Moderate
Vance is the incumbent Vice President in 2026 and historical precedent suggests he would likely seek the presidency rather than the vice presidency in the next cycle.
Off market consensus
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