Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
YES9¢ (9%)
NO91¢ (91%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $28K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 9¢ · pays 11×
Price gap
Polymarket9¢
→OU's fair12¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 11×
Confidence
Moderate
Reports from May 2026 indicate heightened security and elite arrests but no evidence of an active coup attempt has been observed by independent monitors like ISW.
Off market consensus
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