Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES25¢ (25%)
NO75¢ (75%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $28.3K • Updated 6h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 76¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Polymarket76¢
→OU's fair76¢
Confidence
Low
A Trump-brokered ceasefire went into effect on May 9 and was followed by official declarations from both leaders that the conflict is ending.
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