Will Maria Natale win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES92¢ (92%)
NO8¢ (8%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $9.8K • Updated 43m agoCloses: 2026-06-08 (2d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 8¢ · pays 12×
Price gap
Polymarket8¢
→OU's fair12¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 12×
Confidence
Moderate
Maria Natale secured a substantial lead in the first round of voting and maintains a strong position heading into the runoff scheduled for June 7 and 8.
Closes in2d 12h
Off market consensus
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