SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES77¢ (77%)
NO23¢ (23%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $40K • Updated 49m agoCloses: 2026-08-01
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 24¢ · pays 4.3×
Price gap
Polymarket24¢
→OU's fair25¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 4.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Supreme Court justices signaled a willingness to overturn state laws allowing late-arriving mail ballots during oral arguments for Watson v.
Off market consensus
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