Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES89¢ (89%)
NO11¢ (11%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.4K • Updated 1h agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 11¢ · pays 8.8×
Price gap
Polymarket11¢
→OU's fair15¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 8.8×
Confidence
Moderate
South Dakota is a deep red state where Republicans have held the governorship continuously since 1979 and currently maintain a significant registration advantage.
Off market consensus
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