SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES34¢ (34%)
NO66¢ (66%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $14.1K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-04
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
YES at 34¢ · pays 2.9×
Price gap
Polymarket34¢
→OU's fair52¢
+18¢ underpriced · pays 2.9×
Confidence
Moderate
Options data for June 4 indicates a neutral to slightly positive expected move with a higher equilibrium zone near recent closing levels.
Wide edge+18¢
High volume$14k
Closes in11h
Off market consensus
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