SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES85¢ (85%)
NO15¢ (15%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.8K • Updated 24m agoCloses: 2026-05-26
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
NO at 16¢ · pays 6.5×
Price gap
Polymarket16¢
→OU's fair37¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 6.5×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical data shows a slight positive bias for the S&P 500 on the Tuesday following Memorial Day while option markets imply a narrow expected move of less than one percent.
Wide edge+21¢
Closes in18h
Off market consensus
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