State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES2¢ (2%)
NO98¢ (98%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $56.4K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-30
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 2¢ · pays 54×
Price gap
Polymarket2¢
→OU's fair5¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 54×
Confidence
Moderate
Current political reporting indicates no imminent constitutional crisis or executive intent to invoke Article 40 despite ongoing security rhetoric from opposition figures.
Off market consensus
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