Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES3¢ (3%)
NO97¢ (97%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $24.9M • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-05-31 (6d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 3¢ · pays 33×
Price gap
Polymarket3¢
→OU's fair15¢
+12¢ underpriced · pays 33×
Confidence
Moderate
Pentagon officials and shipping experts both stated in late April that clearing the strait and restoring normal traffic would likely take several months.
Wide edge+12¢
High volume$1.4M
Closes in6d 1h
Off market consensus
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