Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES12¢ (12%)
NO88¢ (88%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $37K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (23d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 88¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket88¢
→OU's fair88¢
Confidence
Low
The ongoing conflict between the SAF and RSF remains intense with no credible reports of a breakthrough in negotiations as of June 2026.
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