Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES45¢ (45%)
NO55¢ (55%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $110.7K • Updated 16m agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 55¢ · pays 1.8×
Price gap
Polymarket55¢
→OU's fair76¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate
James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination and leads in fundraising but faces a historically Republican-leaning electorate in a midterm cycle.
Wide edge+21¢
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