OVER / UNDER
texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff-margin-of-victory-larger-brackets ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
Paxton 25–30%97¢
Paxton 30%+★ BEST2¢
Paxton 20–25%1¢
Paxton 15–20%0¢
Paxton 10–15%0¢
Paxton 5–10%0¢
Paxton 0–5%0¢
Other0¢
Cornyn Win0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $89.2K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-05-26
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Paxton 30%+
at 2¢
Price gap
Polymarket2¢
→
OU's fair22¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 44×
Confidence
Moderate

Ken Paxton holds a significant fundraising advantage and strong momentum following his high-profile challenge to the incumbent senator in the primary runoff.

Wide edge+20¢
High volume$80k
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.