Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES9¢ (9%)
NO91¢ (91%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.4K • Updated 51m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 9¢ · pays 12×
Price gap
Polymarket9¢
→OU's fair95¢
+86¢ underpriced · pays 12×
Confidence
Moderate
Tennessee's 4th District is a Republican stronghold in a state where the GOP holds a dominant eight to one advantage in congressional seats.
Wide edge+86¢
Off market consensus
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