Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES14¢ (14%)
NO86¢ (86%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $12.2K • Updated 18m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 14¢ · pays 6.9×
Price gap
Polymarket14¢
→OU's fair35¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 6.9×
Confidence
Moderate
Tennessee Republicans proposed a new congressional map in May 2026 that specifically targets the Democratic incumbent in this historically safe district.
Wide edge+21¢
Off market consensus
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