Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 5, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES14¢ (14%)
NO86¢ (86%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.5K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-05 (1d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 14¢ · pays 6.9×
Price gap
Polymarket14¢
→OU's fair18¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 6.9×
Confidence
Low
A narrow four-tenth point range for a polling average is statistically unlikely to hit exactly given the volatility of approval ratings during an election year.
Closes in20h
Off market consensus
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