Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES69¢ (69%)
NO31¢ (31%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $74.6K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 31¢ · pays 3.2×
Price gap
Polymarket31¢
→OU's fair52¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 3.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Denmark and Greenland have historically rejected sovereignty sales and any treaty would require complex constitutional approvals that are unlikely to conclude by the deadline.
Wide edge+21¢
Off market consensus
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