OVER / UNDER
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Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
1.2–1.5M76¢
1.5–1.8M7¢
0.9–1.2M4¢
1.8–2.1M3¢
<0.6M1¢
0.6–0.9M★ BEST1¢
2.1–2.4M1¢
2.4–2.7M1¢
2.7M+0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $106.3K • Updated 6m agoCloses: 2026-05-26 (1d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · 0.6–0.9M
at 1¢
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→
OU's fair21¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 80×
Confidence
Moderate

Historical Texas Republican runoff turnout typically falls within this range and current polling indicates a competitive race between Cornyn and Paxton.

Wide edge+20¢
Closes in1d 1h
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