Will the Democratic Party win the TX-14 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES13¢ (13%)
NO87¢ (87%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.6K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 88¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket88¢
→OU's fair95¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Texas District 14 is a solidly Republican seat held by Randy Weber and the Democratic primary runoff on May 26 2026 indicates a lack of high-profile challenger investment.
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