Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES8¢ (8%)
NO92¢ (92%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $11.3K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-05-26
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 8¢ · pays 13×
Price gap
Polymarket8¢
→OU's fair29¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 13×
Confidence
Moderate
A primary runoff report from May 2026 indicates that Christian Menefee leads incumbent Al Green by seven points in the race for the Democratic nomination.
Wide edge+21¢
Closes in18h
Off market consensus
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