Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES70¢ (70%)
NO30¢ (30%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $14.2K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 30¢ · pays 3.3×
Price gap
Polymarket30¢
→OU's fair35¢
+5¢ underpriced · pays 3.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Texas District 23 is a historically Republican-leaning seat currently held by Tony Gonzales and the GOP maintains a significant fundraising advantage in the 2026 cycle.
Off market consensus
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