Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES11¢ (11%)
NO89¢ (89%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.4K • Updated 56m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 11¢ · pays 9.1×
Price gap
Polymarket11¢
→OU's fair95¢
+84¢ underpriced · pays 9.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Texas' 25th District is a heavily Republican-leaning seat and the GOP recently won a redistricting battle that further solidifies their control over the map for 2026.
Wide edge+84¢
Off market consensus
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