Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES85¢ (85%)
NO15¢ (15%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.7K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 85¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket85¢
→OU's fair92¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Republican John Carter has held this solidly red district since its creation and the current search context confirms his incumbency for the 2026 cycle.
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