Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES75¢ (75%)
NO25¢ (25%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $25.7K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 26¢ · pays 3.9×
Price gap
Polymarket26¢
→OU's fair46¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 3.9×
Confidence
Moderate
Texas 32nd District is a Democratic stronghold that became even more reliably blue following the 2021 redistricting process.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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