OVER / UNDER
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UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims)

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
O/U 0.5 Rounds★ BEST51¢
Aguilar to win by KO/TKO?50¢
Tsuruya to win by KO/TKO?50¢
Fight won by submission?50¢
Fight to Go the Distance?50¢
Fight won by KO/TKO?50¢
Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya50¢
O/U 2.5 Rounds47¢
O/U 1.5 Rounds47¢
Polymarket • Volume: $290.5K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-05-31 (5d)
Polymarket · Sports
OU's Pick
YES · O/U 0.5 Rounds
at 51¢
Price gap
Polymarket51¢
→
OU's fair71¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 2.0×
Confidence
Moderate

Search snippets indicate Jesus Aguilar is out of the scheduled bout and has been replaced by Luis Gurule for the May 30 event in Macau.

Wide edge+20¢
High volume$40k
Closes in5d 11h
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