Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES4¢ (4%)
NO96¢ (96%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $568.7K • Updated 31m agoCloses: 2026-06-30
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 4¢ · pays 24×
Price gap
Polymarket4¢
→OU's fair15¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 24×
Confidence
Moderate
NATO allies reaffirmed Ukraine's irreversible path to membership at the 2024 Washington Summit and Ukraine continues to seek security guarantees before any concessions.
High volume$99k
Off market consensus
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