Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES22¢ (22%)
NO78¢ (78%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $93.9K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 22¢ · pays 4.7×
Price gap
Polymarket22¢
→OU's fair42¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 4.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Financial Times reports that Ukraine has already agreed to cap its defense forces at 800,000 personnel as part of negotiations to end the conflict.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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