Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES2¢ (2%)
NO98¢ (98%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $13.4K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 2¢ · pays 43×
Price gap
Polymarket2¢
→OU's fair8¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 43×
Confidence
Moderate
Ukrainian security services successfully thwarted a previous coup plot scheduled for June 30 in 2024 and no current evidence suggests a new credible attempt is underway in 2026.
Off market consensus
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