Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES11¢ (11%)
NO89¢ (89%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $204.9K • Updated 18m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 11¢ · pays 9.5×
Price gap
Polymarket11¢
→OU's fair15¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 9.5×
Confidence
Moderate
Ukrainian martial law prohibits national elections and the ongoing conflict makes a resolution to end such restrictions before the 2026 deadline highly unlikely.
Off market consensus
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