Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES9¢ (9%)
NO91¢ (91%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $86K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 92¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket92¢
→OU's fair95¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Low
Current search results show no evidence of a pending ceasefire agreement and historical negotiations have consistently failed to reach a US backed framework.
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