Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $65.1K • Updated 6m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES · Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
at 0¢
Price gap
Polymarket0¢
→OU's fair8¢
+8¢ underpriced
Confidence
Moderate
Ukraine continues to maintain its territorial integrity as a core peace condition while Russian forces have only made incremental territorial gains as of March 2026.
Off market consensus
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