U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES1¢ (1%)
NO99¢ (99%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $159.7K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 1¢ · pays 83×
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→OU's fair22¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 83×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent reports from the BBC and other outlets indicate the Trump administration has already offered a fifteen year security guarantee as part of a proposed peace plan.
Wide edge+21¢
Off market consensus
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