US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
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Polymarket • Volume: $11.3M • Updated 52m agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · July 31
at 73¢
Price gap
Polymarket73¢
→OU's fair85¢
+12¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Search context indicates a tentative agreement to extend the ceasefire by sixty days was reached on June 3 2026 which makes a July resolution highly probable.
Wide edge+12¢
High volume$741k
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