US defaults on debt by 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES5¢ (5%)
NO95¢ (95%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $15.1K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 95¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket95¢
→OU's fair97¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Major financial institutions and the Congressional Budget Office indicate the debt ceiling is not expected to be a binding issue for the federal government until 2027.
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