Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES22¢ (22%)
NO78¢ (78%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.8K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-01-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 22¢ · pays 4.7×
Price gap
Polymarket22¢
→OU's fair43¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 4.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Current data from June 2026 shows unemployment remains stable and inflation is moderating toward the target range despite mixed signals about a potential recession.
Wide edge+21¢
Off market consensus
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.