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Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES4¢ (4%)
NO96¢ (96%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.3K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (30d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 97¢ · pays 1.0×
Price gap
Polymarket97¢
OU's fair97¢
Confidence
Low

Current geopolitical tensions and the lack of active diplomatic breakthroughs suggest that a major lifting of OFAC sanctions by the deadline is highly improbable.

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