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U.S. nuclear test by...?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
September 30, 20265¢
June 30, 2026★ BEST2¢
Polymarket • Volume: $46K • Updated 28m agoCloses: 2026-09-30
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES · June 30, 2026
at 2¢
Price gap
Polymarket2¢
→
OU's fair12¢
+10¢ underpriced · pays 61×
Confidence
Moderate

President Trump called for a resumption of nuclear testing in October 2025 but technical and political hurdles make a detonation by mid-2026 unlikely.

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